01What happened
The story, straight
Toy Story 5 brought in $17.5 million from Thursday-night preview screenings, the strongest early showing of any 2026 film. Variety reports the Pixar sequel is tracking toward a $145 million to $150 million domestic opening weekend, with bullish forecasts reaching $175 million. Either figure would surpass Toy Story 4's $120 million franchise record, and the higher estimate would unseat The Super Mario Bros. Movie for the year's biggest debut.
woody and buzz pulled $17.5M from thursday previews alone — best early number any movie's posted in 2026. variety says the weekend could land between $145M and $175M domestic, which would either crush toy story 4's franchise record of $120M or straight-up dethrone mario for the year's biggest opening. pixar keeps burying this franchise and it keeps climbing out of the box.
02Spread timeline
Where it actually started
03Source receipts
Every claim, linked
04What's solid, what isn't
What's solid and what isn't
- Toy Story 5 earned $17.5 million in Thursday-night preview screenings.
- The film is tracking toward a $145M–$175M domestic opening weekend per Variety.
- Toy Story 4's franchise-record opening was $120 million.
- The higher $175M forecast would unseat The Super Mario Bros. Movie for the year's biggest debut (exact Mario figure not cited in source).
- Full Friday and Saturday grosses will determine whether tracking holds.
05Why it matters
The editorial take
The preview numbers signal that audience fatigue over Toy Story sequels was overstated. Pixar revived the franchise twice — first with Andy's goodbye in Part 3, then Woody's departure in Part 4 — and each time skeptics said it was done. A $150M+ opening would rank among the top animated debuts ever and confirm Disney's bet that nostalgia still prints money when the execution lands.
everyone told disney to leave toy story alone. disney did not listen. $17.5M in previews says the audience didn't either. if the weekend holds at $150M+, this becomes a top-five animated opening ever and the definitive proof that pixar sequels aren't dead — they just needed a decade off.
